samedi 23 juin 2012

Mr Doom @ GloomBoomDoom



Marc Faber is a contrarian. To be a good contrarian, you need to know what you are contrary about. It helps to be a worldclass economist-historian, to have been a trader and Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert when the firm was the junk bond king of Wall Street, to have lived in Hong Kong for a quarter of a century, and to have a contact book crammed with the home numbers of many of the movers and shakers in the financial world.
Famous for his contrarian approach to investing, Marc Faber does not run with the bulls or bait the bears but steers his own course through the maelstrom of international finance markets. In 1987 he warned his clients to cash out before Black Monday in Wall Street; he made them handsome profits by forecasting the burst in the Japanese Bubble in 1990; he correctly predicted the collapse in US gaming stocks in 1993; and he foresaw the AsiaPacific financial crisis of 1997/98 and the resulting global volatility.
Nury Vittachi writes in "Riding the Millennial Storm": Faber has style. A ski racer in his youth, he remains a flamboyant character. He plays to the press, who call him Dr Doom; his monthy newsletter, always an excellent read, is called 'The Gloom, Boom and Doom Report'. He wears a ponytail, in defiance of the expectation (in Asia, especially) that investment managers should look conventional. His book, The Great Money Illusion, written in a hurry after the 1987 crash, was dedicated "to many beautiful and kind women whose names are better kept confidential".
Marc Faber
His office is eclectic. Nineteenthcentury oil paintings of Hong Kong and Macau, mingle with Korean paintings, an amazing collection of Mao memorabilia (including one white alabaster statue with a red scarf tied round its neck), an ancient horned gramophone with old Chinese records, soft flufly yellow toys and a china polar bear, bottles of XO brandy and cases of Grolsch beer. He has a superb library of first editions of works on economics and stockmarket cycles in a variety of European languages, being a multilingual Swiss and a collection of a quarter of a million Mao badges.
What he says is usually impeccably well argued, but it is the delivery which makes him so sought after as a speaker: he is a master of rhetoric, and of vivid everyday examples, and the very dry sense of humour and the heavy Swiss accent provide an irresistible mix. (He describes his own writing as 'SwissGerman pidgin English, but is actually one of the most articulate and grammatical people I know.)
It is amazing how much vitriol the mention of Faber's name can generate mainly from traders with a limited sense of historical perspective. He is well aware of this reaction. Back in 1987, he wrote: 'No one likes a party spoiler, and as long as the stockmarket orgy goes on the pessimists are shunned almost as badly as AIDS carriers.' The more intelligent professionals around town give him considerably more respect even when they don't understand the detail of his operations. Some assume that he says one thing and invests differently. Other people assume he is a simplistic and publicityseeking contrarian. A large number think of him as 'Dr Doom', the congenital pessimist. He plays up this image, or is at least amused by it and lets it run.

What do others say?

"One does not go to see Marc Faber, Hong Kong's iconoclastic share pundit, in the expectation of good news. But after listening to him, no investor could claim he had not been warned. For Faber, a blunt-spoken Swiss, says the things nobody want to hear..."
The Sunday Times (London)
"(Faber) is the region's (Asia's) most notorious bear."
The Wall Street Journal
"(Faber) is something of an icon."
The Financial Times (London)
"Marc Faber, congential contrarian and shrewd Swiss investment advisor..."
Fortune



Services Provided by Marc Faber Limited




The Gloom Boom & Doom Report and Monthly Market Commentary

Please see the dedicated The Gloom Boom & Doom Report and Monthly Market Commentary sections.

Investment Advisory Services

Marc Faber Limited provides investment advisory services to financial institutions, corporate clients, family offices and high net worth individuals around the world. In meetings at the clients' offices macroeconomic and geopolitical developments and their investment implications are discussed. The depth and intensity of these services vary depending on the clients' needs and requirements. Payments for these services can be made in cash or through soft dollar arrangements.

Portfolio Management Services

Marc Faber Limited manages segregated accounts for financial institutions and high net worth individuals. No mandates are accepted unless Marc Faber has personally met the client and clearly established his investment objective. Frequently outside managers are being used for their special areas of skills.

Conferences and Speaking Engagements

Marc Faber is a frequent speaker at a number of investment seminars. He has given speeches on all continents for a large audience of professional and individual investors on a wide range of subjects.

Articles

Marc Faber writes regular columns for a large number of Asian and Western Magazines and Newspapers. He writes a monthly column for Forbes Global, Boerse Online, Die Welt, Capital Magazine and Apple Daily News in Hong Kong, Wealth magazine in Taiwan, and Nanyang Siang Pao in Malaysia.

Board Memberships

Because of his expertise about Asia and, in particular the fund management industry, Marc Faber is a director of a variety of different funds and industrial companies.



Posté le 7 juin 2012 par Stéphane Wuille

Dr. Doom: l'euro, la Grèce,...la guerre

Faber 7 juinIl y a quelques jours je déroulais, ici même, la trame des scénarios catastrophes que lesMayas du cataclysme économique s’ingénient à tisser d’un fil dépourvu de la moindre lueur d’espoir.
Dans un même registre, quoique légèrement plus nuancé, Marc Faber -bien connu sous le sobriquet de Dr. Doom (Docteur Catastrophe) - a accordé jeudi matin une interview à une radio suisse.

Contrairement aux "Mayas" évoqués plus haut, Marc Faber qui fut aux manettes de la filiale de Hong Kong de Drexel Burnham Lambert à la grande époque des "junk bonds" a bel et bien anticipé quelques retournements de marché notamment à la veille du krach de 1987.

Fidèle à sa réputation, Dr. Doom broie, encore et toujours, du noir. Voici un résumé de ses propos tenus sur la RTS. Vous pouvez écouter son interview en français en cliquant ici.(Merci au blog La Chronique de Crottaz Finance)

-->La guerre. Comme il y a deux ans, j'estime qu’une guerre  pourrait éclater d’ici 5 à 10 ans.  La situation économique ne va pas s’améliorer dans le monde alors que, par ailleurs, les tensions géopolitiques s’accroissent.  Celles entre la Chine et les USA vont augmenter en raison du pétrole. On a l’habitude de remédier à une telle situation en s’engageant dans une guerre. Je ne sais pas quelle forme elle prendra. Peut-être des guérillas au Pakistan ou en Afghanistan.
-->L’euro. D’une certaine façon, l’euro est condamné car des pays comme la Grèce, l’Espagne, le Portugal devront abandonner la monnaie unique. Il ne restera peut-être que l’Allemagne.

-->L’austérité et la croissance. Je dois rire quand on parle d’austérité car il n’y a jamais eu de véritable plan d’austérité en Europe. On a toujours essayé de résoudre les problèmes avec encore plus d’intervention de l’Etat. Une économie est dynamique si elle est soutenue par le secteur privé et non par le gouvernement. Pour relancer l’économie, il faudrait diviser par deux les dépenses publiques et mettre à la porte la plupart des dirigeants de Bruxelles. Un plan de relance comme celui de François Hollande est une catastrophe.

-->La Grèce. Les Grecs veulent rester dans la zone euro car leurs pensions sont payées dans cette devise mais, d’un autre côté, ils ne veulent pas de l’austérité. Il serait désirable que le pays quitte la zone euro avant la fin de l’année. Il n’aurait jamais du en faire partie.

-->Les banques. En principe, les banques ont fait faillite en 2008. On aurait du, à ce moment-là, les diviser en deux avec d’un côté les activités de dépôts garanties par l’Etat et de l’autre les activités spéculatives qu’on aurait laissé faire faillite. 

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