NVIDIA CORPORATION (NVDA)
12,17 USD
-0,65% | -0,08
18/01/2013 22:00
Why Nvidia Is Heading To $22
Summary
- Following the recent retreat, the stock is worth a gamble here for the long term.
- The risk-reward trade-off favors the upside.
- If Nvidia can maintain revenue growth rate of 10% for the next couple of years, this company can become a legitimate competitor to Qualcomm and Broadcom.
With the ongoing struggles in the semiconductor industry, it continues to amaze how chip giant Nvidia (NVDA), which has performed above expectations, can never be given the benefit of the doubt. Despite having shown a track record of consistent outperformance, the company is always discussed in the context of management's ability to change its chip strategy.
But the numbers have shown that the transition away from the a PC-dependent business is on, if not ahead of schedule. And it continues to be a mistake to assume that Nvidia will never emerge on to the mobile stage with market leaders Qualcomm (QCOM) and Broadcom (BRCM). And following Nvidia's first-quarter earnings beat, investors would do well to not underestimate one of the best managed companies on the market.
Revenue jumped 16% year over year to $1.1 billion, which easily beat Street estimates. The company enjoyed a solid performance from its core PC graphics processor segment, which posted a 14% year over year jump in revenue to $898 million. This occurred even amid the persistent slowdown in the personal computer market. Nvidia has been able to offset declines in its notebook market shrank with strong-than-expected demand for its advanced graphics chips. These are the types that are in high-end notebooks, which posted growth due to its gaming features.
Even more impressive was the 35% jump in revenue from Nvidia's Tegra processor business, which grew to $139 million. This is an important business for the company, which shows that meaningful progress is being made in the realm of mobile gadgets and automobiles. Recall, two months ago, Nvidia showed off a self-driving Audi that was powered by a Tegra processor. And now the company's Tegra line of chips are powering thing like entertainment and navigation systems in cars made by (among others)Tesla (TSLA).
From an operational perspective, gross margin rose both sequentially and year over year, leading to an 83% year-over-year jump in profits and an 85% jump in earnings per share. With strong expense controls, which lead to a 4% decline, management achieves a gross margin of non-GAPP 55.1%.
All told this was by-far the best performance among all of the chip names. But investors weren't pleased with what management had to say about guidance, including seasonal weakness in demand for graphics chips, those used in low-end laptops. Management projected a second-quarter GAAP gross margin of 53.7 percent and non-GAAP gross margin of 54 percent. But I don't think it's time to panic.
Amid all of the PC-related doom, which continues to weigh on rivals includingIntel (INTC), Nvidia delivered as solid a performance as could have been expected, beating estimates on revenue and earnings per share. Not only is Nvidia's Tegra line of chips gaining traction, but the costs to grow market share have not adversely impacted the company's operating margin.
Also encouraging is the fact that Nvidia continues to secure business fromMicrosoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) where the Tegra is a key component inside their respective devices. Device manufacturers have embraced that Tegra's features such as low power consumption coupled with high performance makes this series one of the best chips on the market today and well into the future.
From my vantage point, if Nvidia can maintain revenue growth rate of 10% for the next couple of years, while also growing its Tegra market share, this company can become a legitimate competitor to Qualcomm and Broadcom. Accordingly, with the stock trading at around $18 per share, I project fair value to reach $20 to $22 in the next 12 to 16 months. Following the recent retreat, the stock is worth a gamble here for the long term. The risk-reward trade-off favors the upside.
QUALCOMM INC COM USD0.0001 (QCOM)
64,68 USD
-0,70% | -0,46
18/01/2013 22:00
ARM HOLDINGS (ARM)
861,00 GBp
+0,64% | +5,50
18/01/2013 17:35
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC COM USD0.01 (AMD)
2,46 USD
-10,22% | -0,28
18/01/2013 22:00
INTEL CORP (INTC)
21,25 USD
-6,31% | -1,43
18/01/2013 22:00
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) Surpassed Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE:AMD); Despite Revenue Plunged 3% in 4Q
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), the world’s largest chipmaker, announced its most anticipated fourth-quarter net income, plunged 27 per cent from the previous year over continuous weak PC sales under its CEO, Otellini, who was tapped as CEO in 2005. Otellini has survived years of great tumult as he battled with antitrust regulators in Europe and the U.S. both federal and from New York State over issues concerning to its competitors Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE:AMD).
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC)’s net income was US$2.47 billion, or 48 cents per share for the quarter from October to December that was less than a year ago net income of US$3.36 billion, or 64 cents per share. Intel is hoping that the next CEO will at least have a fighting chance to play off some of the company’s investments, and come out looking clever and exceptional to make it viable under current market trends.
The average poll of analysts by FactSet were still beaten by Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) in earnings expectations for the quarter by 3 cents per share. This all was achieved by the chip maker due that was due to slightly higher-than-expected prices for its chips and also due to lower-than-expected costs for starting up new production lines.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) is competing well with its low-power chips now arriving from Intel appear are having an edge on the ARM Holdings plc (ADR) (NASDAQ:ARMH)-based designs from QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM), NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) and others in this Industry. Finally, now Intel low-power chips are running in many smartphone and tablet. Company has also started to win value in the industry with the idea of becoming a contract chip maker able to compete with, Samsung, TSMC and Global Foundries.
Otellini managed to fix the business of Intel’s server chip after it had fallen behind AMD’s, with a move that has left Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE:AMD) near collapse and Intel making huge profits in the data center. The main source of Intel’s success is its entry into a true software powerhouse through a series of high-profile hires and acquisitions. Otellini also bought McAfee for $7.6 billion.
Intel’s revenue plunged 3 per cent to US$13.5 billion by matching the analyst expectations.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE:AMD) stock fell -3.28% to $2.65 in after hours trading, Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) stock plunged -5.29% to $21.48 in after hours trading. ARM Holdings plc (ADR)(NASDAQ:ARMH) stock surged 1.05% to $41.35 in last trading session, NVIDIA Corporation(NASDAQ:NVDA) stock fell -0.33% to $12.21 in after hours trading, QUALCOMM, Inc.(NASDAQ:QCOM) stock traded down -0.07% to $65.09 in after-hours.
LAST | CHANGE | VOLUME | |
DELAYED 1:20 PM ET | $19.22 | –0.02 –0.10% | 37.6M |
REAL-TIME 1:35 PM ET | $19.24 | 0.00 0.00% | |
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